Axis My India Exit Poll: In the recently concluded Maharashtra Assembly elections, Axis My India’s exit poll projects a landslide victory for the Mahayuti alliance. The poll forecasts that the BJP-led coalition, which includes Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde faction) and NCP (Ajit Pawar faction), will secure between 178 to 200 seats in the 288-member assembly. Meanwhile, the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), comprising Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT), and NCP (Sharad Pawar faction), is predicted to win 82 to 102 seats.
Chief Minister Preferences
As political observers speculate about Maharashtra’s next Chief Minister, Axis My India’s survey has revealed voter preferences:
| Candidate | Percentage Preference |
|---|---|
| Eknath Shinde (Shiv Sena – Mahayuti) | 31% |
| Uddhav Thackeray (Shiv Sena – UBT) | 18% |
| Devendra Fadnavis (BJP – Mahayuti) | 12% |
| Sharad Pawar (NCP – MVA) | 5% |
| Prakash Ambedkar (Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi) | 3% |
| Nitin Gadkari, Ajit Pawar, Nana Patole, Raj Thackeray (various parties) | 2% each |
| Others/Undecided | 6% |
Region-Wise Predictions
The exit poll also offers a region-wise breakdown of the expected results:
| Region | Seats (Total) | Mahayuti | MVA | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mumbai | 36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| Konkan & Thane | 39 | 24 | 13 | 2 |
| Marathwada | 46 | 30 | 15 | 1 |
| North Maharashtra | 47 | 38 | 7 | 2 |
| Western Maharashtra | 58 | 36 | 21 | 1 |
| Vidarbha | 62 | 39 | 20 | 3 |
Key Insights
- Mahayuti Dominance: The Mahayuti alliance is expected to dominate in all regions, particularly in North Maharashtra and Vidarbha, where their seat share may reach 38 and 39, respectively.
- Close Contest in Mumbai: Mumbai remains a significant battleground, with Mahayuti likely winning 22 of 36 seats, while the MVA may secure 14.
- Leadership Preferences: Current Chief Minister Eknath Shinde leads the CM preference poll with 31%, followed by Uddhav Thackeray at 18%. Deputy CM Devendra Fadnavis trails with 12%.
Next Steps
While BJP leader Devendra Fadnavis has stated that discussions about the CM post will only occur after the results, these predictions set the stage for intense political maneuvering. The official results, set to be declared soon, will determine whether these predictions hold true.
Stay tuned as Maharashtra braces for a new political chapter!
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