The Chandigarh News Bihar Exit Poll 2025: As Bihar’s political temperature rises ahead of the 2025 Assembly Election results, exit polls present a mixed picture. While most surveys predict a clear edge for the NDA, led by the BJP and JD(U), the Mahagathbandhan remains in contention, and Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj struggles to make a mark in its debut.
NDA Leads, But Margin Varies Across Pollsters
Exit polls conducted on Tuesday painted a largely favorable scenario for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Bihar, projecting a potential return to power. However, the range of predictions suggests that the final verdict could still spring surprises.
According to Matrize, the NDA is expected to win 147–167 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan is projected to secure 70–90 seats, and Jan Suraaj may end up with 0–2 seats.
Similarly, Dainik Bhaskar estimated 145–160 seats for NDA, 73–91 for Mahagathbandhan, and little to no gains for Jan Suraaj.
Meanwhile, People’s Insight forecasted 133–148 seats for the NDA and 75–101 for the opposition alliance.
The People’s Pulse survey placed the NDA between 133–159, Mahagathbandhan at 75–101, and Jan Suraaj between 0–5 seats.
JVC also predicted a comfortable edge for the NDA, giving it 135–150 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan was expected to bag 88–103.
Chanakya and P-Marg Show Tight Contest in Some Pockets
In contrast, Chanakya Strategies showed a narrower margin, with NDA predicted to secure 130–138 seats, and Mahagathbandhan close behind with 100–108 seats.
On the other hand, P-Marg offered one of the strongest projections for NDA with 142–162 seats, compared to 88–103 for Mahagathbandhan, and 1–4 for Jan Suraaj.
Despite slight variations, most surveys place the NDA comfortably above the majority mark of 122 in the 243-member Assembly.
The Chandigarh News Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Estimate
According to The Chandigarh News’ internal assessment, the Bihar election remains a closely watched battle. The projections are as follows:
- NDA: 90–110
- Mahagathbandhan: 80–100
- Jan Suraaj Party: 1–2
- Others: 5
These numbers suggest no outright wave, indicating that coalition dynamics and independent candidates could influence government formation.
High Voter Turnout Marks a Charged Contest
Bihar recorded its highest-ever voter turnout of 67.14% across two phases held on November 6 and 11. The enthusiastic participation is being seen as a sign of strong voter engagement, with both major blocs — the NDA and Mahagathbandhan — claiming it works in their favor.
For Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, this election is being viewed as a referendum on his long tenure and governance model. On the other hand, Tejashwi Yadav, the face of the opposition alliance, has campaigned aggressively, promising jobs and social justice.
Meanwhile, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, despite its high-decibel campaign, seems unlikely to make a substantial debut, with most exit polls giving it 0–5 seats.
Results on November 14
The final results of the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 will be declared on November 14, when the actual numbers will reveal whether the NDA retains power, the Mahagathbandhan stages a comeback, or the state witnesses a hung assembly.
Until then, political observers agree on one thing — “Bihar main kisi ki sarkar ban nahi rahi, sab rayta fail gaya hai”, reflecting the unpredictable mood of the electorate.
Bihar Exit Poll 2025
| Matrize | 147-167 | 70-90 | 0-2 | 2-8 |
| Dainik Bhaskar | 145-160 | 73-91 | 0 | 5-10 |
| People’s Insight | 133-148 | 75-101 | 0-2 | 2-8 |
| People’s Pulse | 133-159 | 75-101 | 0-5 | 2-8 |
| JVC | 135-150 | 88-103 | 0-1 | 3-6 |
| P-Marg | 142-162 | 88-103 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Chanakya Strategies | 130-138 | 100-108 | 0 | 3-5 |
| The Chandigarh News | 90-110 | 80-100 | 1-2 | 5 |